Nassim Nicholas Taleb brought the concept of Black Swan events. In statistics, it is interpreted as a 1% chance event which is beyond the mean and three standard deviations. In actuarial science, this is called extreme events. The history of mankind has been shaped by Black swan events. Coronavirus originated in Wuhan province of China and in a matter of three months has brought the entire world into crises; medical systems, economy, the daily life of citizens. Currently, it is total uncertainty about the future across 199 nations of the world. But there is a positive side to it also. […]

World Cup Football study reveals the Goalkeeper moved to either left or right side 94% of the time and stood in the centre only 6% of the time whereas the strikers have netted the ball straight 30% of the time. Most goalkeepers dive to the sides. Just standing there is viewed as being stupid and embarrassing. I suspect most of us have a bias toward action, especially  we think we’ll look stupid if we standstill. The best-behaved investors understand that it’s in their best interest to do nothing most of the time, even though everyone else around them may be […]

More than 80% of investments of Individuals are in real estate and around 10% in Gold and Silver. The remaining are in financial assets i.e Bank Deposits, Insurance and Mutual Funds etc. Currently the appreciation in real estate prices has stagnated and so also in gold. So physical assets no more  provide better return than the financial assets.In financial assets the equity as an asset class has outperformed  other financial assets. The reduction in the interest rate of Bank Deposits has caused a lot of concern for retired people. Approach by Individual Investors An individual investor should look at the […]